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Slide Of The Us Dollar

albertchampion
post May 27 2009, 12:01 AM
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the fed will end up buying them all.

this is called monetizing the debt.

it is the harbinger of hyperinflation.
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JimMac
post May 27 2009, 12:22 AM
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QUOTE (albertchampion @ May 27 2009, 12:01 AM) *
the fed will end up buying them all.

this is called monetizing the debt.

it is the harbinger of hyperinflation.


Yep, its time to take the plunge (for me) into the yellow. I don't think we will see $890 again. Its just a hunch, but once it starts to move..it will be jan, 1977 all over again. Buying in the dips could be over. Time to committ I feel, while the rest of the world is still bulldozing in a bear rally.
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Sanders
post May 29 2009, 02:17 PM
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The dollar may go up again, but I sort of doubt it. Latest NYBOT $ INDEX:

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JimMac
post May 29 2009, 02:49 PM
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QUOTE (Sanders @ May 29 2009, 02:17 PM) *
The dollar may go up again, but I sort of doubt it. Latest NYBOT $ INDEX:



There are so many factors it drives me nuts (as i'm half crazy already, so it doesn't take much to tip me over the edge haha). One factor is the end of this current bear rally (assumed to be a bear rally of course). If the players in the wall street casino start to unload, chasing each other down, they they will take short term positions in dollars.

I know, i'm overstating the obvious, but saying it anyway.
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Sanders
post May 30 2009, 11:06 AM
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Dollar Is Dirt, Treasuries Are Toast, AAA Is Gone: Mark Gilbert


(This is actually a good article)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=new...id=aKOzWiTDseUE

QUOTE
Currency markets have been in a weird state of what looks almost like equilibrium for the past couple of months. What’s really going on is something akin to an evenly matched tug of war that fails to move the ribbon tied around the center of the rope, giving the impression of harmony while powerful forces do silent battle until someone slips.

“All currencies are being debased dramatically by their central banks at extraordinary speeds and so in relative terms it appears there is no currency problem,” Lee Quaintance and Paul Brodsky of QB Asset Management said in a research note earlier this month. “In reality, however, paper money is highly vulnerable to a public catalyst that serves to acknowledge it is all merely vapor money.”
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JimMac
post May 30 2009, 03:11 PM
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QUOTE (Sanders @ May 30 2009, 11:06 AM) *
Dollar Is Dirt, Treasuries Are Toast, AAA Is Gone: Mark Gilbert


(This is actually a good article)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=new...id=aKOzWiTDseUE



Indeed, a good article; rare simplified language explaining complex issues. I especially like this para:

" Currency markets have been in a weird state of what looks almost like equilibrium for the past couple of months. What’s really going on is something akin to an evenly matched tug of war that fails to move the ribbon tied around the center of the rope, giving the impression of harmony while powerful forces do silent battle until someone slips. "

“All currencies are being debased dramatically by their central banks at extraordinary speeds and so in relative terms it appears there is no currency problem,” Lee Quaintance and Paul Brodsky of QB Asset Management said in a research note earlier this month. “In reality, however, paper money is highly vulnerable to a public catalyst that serves to acknowledge it is all merely vapor money.”

Check out this graph:

Here's an interesting counter argument opposing my own sentiment that the bear is about to run down hill. I'm usually more often wrong, than right when it comes to predicting market behavior, so I always like to find good counter arguments, and often i jump back up on the fence.

This link above is a bit of a long read, so here are the author's conclusions:

The market is recovering from an unusual and vicious financial crisis; this is a time in which market participants, after having been petrified, are starting to come to grips with the fact that Great Depression II is probably not going to happen.

This is also an extraordinary time - one in which vast numbers of market participants are wrongly over-allocated to cash. As investors adjust their asset allocations to account for new realities, the rally in financial markets will be extremely powerful.

Indeed, because of the large cash allocations, there’s the danger that at some point, things could get out of hand on the upside. Because of the effects of massive inflows by institutions that invest mechanically and are essentially insensitive to fundamentals, the market could overshoot to the upside, failing to properly account for the risk (as opposed to the certainty) that things could get materially worse in 2010.

However, we’ll worry about the risk of bullish overshoot later. As I point out in Op-Ed: The Crisis is Over - For Now, the financial crisis is over, for now. And for now, I believe this market is going higher - much higher.


"

This post has been edited by JimMac: May 30 2009, 03:13 PM
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JimMac
post May 30 2009, 03:30 PM
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PS: on the VIX

I'd be lying if I claimed to understand technical analysis, but i do watch the VIX.

There seems to be a turn in investor confidence brewing (underline 'seems')

S&P 500 against the VIX volatility index
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Lasthorseman
post May 30 2009, 07:49 PM
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The excuse for other things to slide.

http://www.ratical.org/ratville/CAH/fasci14chars.html
Numbers nine and ten.
Corporate power is protected.
Labor power is supressed.
We are in fact returning to the coal miner days of I owe my soul to the company store. This report is direct and personal as each one of these stories comes from an immediate family member.

Union carpenters. The pension plan is frozen,insolvent. Vacation, sick days, holiday pay, history. No work, large numbers of union members "on the bench".

Retail big box electronics store layoffs continue. In this case layoff meant a severance package and collecting unemployment except for the common knowledge that collecting unemployment from said company means hiring a lawyer.
The other complication is the offer of continued employment with said company but at the same time being given a highly negative job review after nine years of service. "On final" they called it which means screw up once more and you are gone. For what offence you might ask. Well the offense was discovery of a fault in company policy and procedure which enabled a customer to walk away with a free computer. The soap opera continues daily.

I have the pdf of a company policy which stated that employees would be held responsible for damages to the company. True it was intended for big shots bribing government officials to secure business deals however at the same time this global company insisted upon attaching specific employee names to each package shipped. Now as a mere peon employee all of us are totally up to speed on the global shipping to specific countries and all of the agencies prohibiting materials. It is a subject even tax attorneys with 40 years can't fathom. So before I was downsized I just gave my packages to the shipper.

Elder care nursing home services. Now nothing has really changed in this area "because of the economy". Insurance or medicare pays the nursing home. They even have government agencies looking back five years to see if Dad or Ma gave Jr anything over $50 dollars in any single culturally accepted " you gotta buy me some sh*t" holiday. Big pharma, second only to the military industrial complex is still a sacred cash cow, no? Despite all of this efforts are in full swing to eliminate my wife and her shift differentials paid for working twelve hour nights. I have a multi-year history of several, well how do I put this, non-english speaking aides who worked with my wife.
One was a voodoo priest and eventually scared the sh*t out of the residents.
Another killed his girlfriend and at least two routinely hid in patient rooms avoiding call lights for unbelievable lengths of time knowing that as minorities they were THE protected species. Sorry if that is indelicate, politically incorrect but it is true. Now by the same token the wife knows other immigrants who are stellar workers and upstanding solidly good citizens.

My wife however has ten years of service with this company and as such has not only a bullseye on her wage earning head but also that red laser targeting dot.
The excuse? Oh, the economy is bad. The engineered depression is followed by labor rights take backs. How can you get more evidence of outright manipulation.

And me? How is my job seach going? Well can I pay somebody fifty bucks on the internet to find out if I am indeed on the Homeboy Insecurity no work list.
Is there such a database or are they connected to the daily emails saying the Nigerian prince owes me money. Unfortunately research lab rats don't have the connections to work "under the table" and collect unemployment benefits at the same time and hey, I'm by far way too much of a WASP to apply for welfare. Yeah that ain't PC either but we are all niggers in the back of this corpo-fascist buss.
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Sanders
post Jul 13 2009, 07:24 AM
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The dollar is still holding steady at 80 on the dollar index

http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX

But wait, despite efforts by the Japanese to prop it up, it's crashing against the Yen !



Just yesterday it was 93 and a half ... last week it was at 95 or 96. Somebody must really be pushing and pulling all the right levers to keep the dollar stable on the index - that's all I can say!
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Sanders
post Sep 25 2009, 02:11 PM
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Despite Japan's efforts to prop up the dollar ...


Woah!!!

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Sanders
post Nov 24 2009, 11:42 PM
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The Dollar has fallen below the 75 mark.

USD Index currently - 74.979

http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX


It's down to 88.285 against the Yen.

http://finance.yahoo.com/currency-converte...SD;to=JPY;amt=1
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